Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-12 14.779007 16.687777 18.809726 21.354476 24.337619 27.741137 31.942773
2025-10-19 11.892029 14.264675 17.109531 20.808834 25.546406 31.484920 39.611902
2025-10-26 10.697689 13.382475 16.777604 21.458413 27.860065 36.483945 49.290572
2025-11-02 9.508034 12.276737 15.922724 21.182801 28.761123 39.584438 56.790548
2025-11-09 8.556974 11.340648 15.131744 20.814626 29.376109 42.244899 63.990604
2025-11-16 7.827592 10.612836 14.519865 20.579690 30.085308 45.061239 71.862658
2025-11-23 7.132119 9.856537 13.774875 20.031994 30.196526 46.887049 78.336004
2025-11-30 6.648481 9.357701 13.348874 19.905432 30.929310 49.794117 87.252206
2025-12-07 6.058179 8.648956 12.537917 19.070894 30.360636 50.335692 91.743568
2025-12-14 5.496077 7.940338 11.667612 18.048436 29.336488 49.891712 94.139511
2025-12-21 5.129747 7.506816 11.194002 17.637711 29.334566 51.327036 100.726372
2025-12-28 5.286680 7.901588 12.073777 19.620640 33.930099 62.354650 131.146643
2026-01-04 5.142320 7.813143 12.169680 20.267794 36.168681 69.203515 154.301664
2026-01-11 4.797307 7.372274 11.637393 19.718505 35.983667 70.880758 164.976220
2026-01-18 4.677552 7.296747 11.724105 20.329178 38.236400 78.382986 193.739356
2026-01-25 4.431840 6.989710 11.378433 20.071098 38.618067 81.609172 211.372276
2026-02-01 4.194758 6.682054 11.008147 19.726578 38.763314 84.288222 228.289924
2026-02-08 3.995053 6.427095 10.714689 19.506677 39.156592 87.666778 248.749875
2026-02-15 3.771373 6.116563 10.297271 18.993883 38.811561 89.063146 263.005771
2026-02-22 3.616207 5.919646 10.078809 18.875356 39.379444 93.036279 288.231038
2026-03-01 3.388758 5.579907 9.568447 18.093510 38.254290 92.096262 294.441458
2026-03-08 3.154797 5.217609 8.995492 17.134905 36.596251 89.383947 292.812139
2026-03-15 3.004646 5.002580 8.695667 16.749604 36.333208 90.740059 308.781758